The Beak Basketball Breakdown: The Orange

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Our Cardinals are back at it tonight and will look to recover from a tough loss in conference play on Saturday. The Cards will face a familiar foe tonight when they travel to New York to play an old Big East rival Syracuse. This will be the first meeting between these teams as members of the ACC. Louisville leads the all-time series, 15-7, and the Cardinals have won the two most recent contests with the Orange. The Cardinals have a 3-4 record in games played at Syracuse, winning three of their last four in the Carrier Dome. The last meeting between the two was in the 2013 BIG EAST Tournament championship game, won by the Cardinals, 78-61. Coach Pitino is a former Syracuse assistant. He was on Coach Jim Boeheim’s first staff with the Orange. Chinanu Onuaku is the brother of former Cuse standout Arinze Onuaku. Louisville is 8-4 in the ACC and currently in 4th place. Syracuse is 7-5 in the ACC and currently in 6th place.

The Orange has lost four of their last six games and is still looking for their first win over a ranked team. On the season, Syracuse is averaging 69.7 points on 44% shooting from the field and 31.9% from the three. Leading the way for the Orange is Rakeem Christmas (17.7 ppg, 9.2 rpg, 1.6 apg), Trevor Cooney (14.6 ppg, 2.6 rpg, 2.3 apg), Michael Gbinije (12.9 ppg, 5.0 rpg, 3.5 apg), Chris McCullough (9.3 ppg, 6.9 rpg, 1.1 apg) and Tyler Roberson (7.5 ppg, 7.2 rpg, 1.5 apg). Gbinije leads the ACC in three point field goal percentage for league games only (.509, 29-of-57). The Syracuse Orange have five players averaging at least 6.9 points.

Defensively, Syracuse is allowing 63.1 points on 39.7% shooting from the field and allowing 31.5% shooting from the three. They have given up 70 or more points in four of their last five games. They are ranked 18th nationally in steals (8.4), Syracuse is 70th in the ratings percentage index (RPI) and 48th in the Sagarin Ratings through Feb. 15.

Syracuse 2014-15 Overall Rankings Offense | Defense

OFFENSE
-POINTS PER GAME
69.7
121st
OVERALL
-REBOUNDS PER GAME
37.3
49th
OVERALL
-ASSISTS PER GAME
15.6
24th
OVERALL
-FIELD GOAL PCT
.441
139th
OVERALL

DEFENSE
-POINTS ALLOWED
63.1
93rd
OVERALL
-REBOUNDS PER GAME
25.1
76th
OVERALL
-BLOCKS PER GAME
5.4
19th
OVERALL
-STEALS PER GAME
8.4
18th
OVERALL

Syracuse 2014-15 Kenpom Rankings
Overall- #64
Defense Adjustment Efficiency
-95.0 ranks 52nd
Offense Adjustment Efficiency
-104.8 ranks 111th
-Per Kenpom’s game prediction he has Louisville winning the game 66-64 based on his indexes.

Our Cardinals hope to bounce back tonight after splitting their last four games. On the season, Louisville is averaging 71.6 points on 43.4% shooting from the field and 29.4% shooting from the three. In their six ACC road games this season, the Cardinals have shot a collective 53.2 percent from the field (158-of-311).

The Cards will be without one of their leading scorers, and top defensive players tonight. As everyone knows by now Chris Jones has been suspended for this game. But the Cards still have Terry Rozier who is averaging 18 points and 5.5 rebounds. He has averaged 21.7 points in Louisville’s six conference road games. Montrezl Harrell is averaging 15.4 points and 9.3 rebounds while Wayne Blackshear is grabbing 4.6 rebounds.
Defensively, Louisville is allowing 59 points on 37.6% shooting from the field are is allowing 29.4% shooting from the three. They have given up 56 or less points in three of their last four games.

We have been waiting all season for some of the younger guys to step up and play a bigger role on this team. We saw that happen last week in the final 12 minutes of the Pitt game. With Chris Jones benched at the end of that game Quentin Snider came in and hit some big jump shots to spark a Louisville comeback. Tonight he will get his chance to make a name for himself yet again. We will also need to see a good effort from Anton Gill and Shaqquan Aaron. I think the Cardinals played the best 12 minutes of the season at the end of that Pitt game and there’s no reason to think these guys aren’t capable of playing like that tonight at Syracuse.

Coach Pitino has been really focused on getting the ball in the post area saying this week that he has told his team to look inside with every possession. He also mentioned this week that Anas will see more minutes in place of Mango in the rotation. With the way Cuse plays that tough 2-3 zone it is going to take a solid effort from all our big guys. They will also need to match the physical play of the Cuse post guys.

With Syracuse being banned from any tournaments this season, this is its national championship. Expect a nasty crowd and a motivated team to come out and try its best to pull off the upset. That along with the Cardinals being without their starting point guard will make for one of the most challenging games of the season. It’s gut check time for our Cardinals. A win tonight could make a huge statement, but another loss could raise a lot of concern. I believe that we will see inspired basketball from our guys…

The Beak Prediction:
Louisville 64 Syracuse 60

Will Louisville First be Chris Jones Last?

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It’s been a week ago today since our Cardinals played the best twelve minutes of basketball this season in a comeback win against Pitt. And it’s been a week since I witnessed one of the most heated exchanges of the season between Coach Pitino and Chris Jones.

With 12:15 left in that Pitt game Chris was pulled after he had missed a lay-up. As he was walking towards his spot at the end of the bench you could see the frustration on his face and see him saying things under his breath with Coach Pitino right behind. Once Chris sit down Coach kneeled down in front of him and let him know just what he was thinking. The tension between coach and player was very obvious and I cringed watching this interaction.

Coach Pitino made it very clear in his post-game press conference that night how upset he was with Jones. And there was no sign of Chris in the post-game locker room. I was sure that we would see the fallout from this before the game against NC State but Chris did start and played in the loss to the WolfPack. Ironically it was the worst game the Cardinals have played all season. Chris led all scorers with 20 points in the loss and it didn’t seem like there was any hangover from his bad game against Pitt. But maybe there were issues and we just didn’t see it.

On Tuesday night we got word that Chris Jones had been suspended. The press alert read as follows:

“University of Louisville guard Chris Jones has been suspended from the men’s basketball team for a violation of team rules. Jones will not travel with the team for the Cardinals’ 7 p.m. game at Syracuse on Wednesday. He is averaging 13.6 points, 3.9 rebounds and at team-leading 3.7 assists for Louisville (20-5, 8-4 ACC).”

After the interaction I witnessed between Coach Pitino and Chris last week the news tonight didn’t surprise me.

Chris Jones when fully engaged and committed to his team is one of the most formidable point guards in the country and makes the Cardinals one of the best teams in the country. When he’s not things don’t go well for him or his team.

Chris Jones is a complex guy with a complex past. He grew up on the mean streets of Memphis where he had to be tough and strong looking out for his single mother and his sisters. Growing up in these rough environments and surrounded by dysfunction often leads to a fight or flight mentality with no other coping skills learned. He was described as scrappy, undisciplined and unpredictable in his early basketball days.

This led to several setbacks for Chris. He had academic issues at Melrose High school having to leave after his junior year for Oak Ridge Military Academy in North Carolina. He was dismissed from that school after an altercation with a teacher. He came back to Melrose finished school then committed to Tennessee to play college basketball. He never made it due to NCAA sanctions and not qualifying academically. He eventually landed at Northwest Florida College.

During the time he spent at Northwest Coach Steve Forbes turned a player known as a high tempered dictator into a team player. Forbes has been quoted saying: “He’s the most highly competitive person I’ve ever coached. Ever,” “It can be his biggest strength and his biggest weakness. He will fight every fight.”

It’s hard to escape your past but it looked like Chris Jones was a guy that was going to do it. Or at least it did until that final twelve minutes of that Pitt game last week when he was arguing with his coach, pouting on the bench and not cheering for his team.

Chris Jones has been given many chances in his life and in his basketball career. We could be watching his last chance play out in front of us. Will he let his past continue to dictate his future or will he make the best of the time he has left here at Louisville. Coach Pitino said on Tuesday night “we move on without him”. The Louisville program has always been bigger than the player. Louisville First… Let’s hope it’s not Chris Jones last